List of Maps viii
List of Tables ix
Preface x
Introduction 1
Part I
Chapter 1 Conceptual
Framework 14
Chapter 2 The
Major Powers: National Capabilities 26
Part II
Chapter 3 European
Politics and Overseas Expansion 46
Chapter 4 Competition, Crisis,
and the Search for Stability 65
Chapter 5 Collisions
of National Interests 86
Chapter 6 The
Anglo-German Naval Race 103
Chapter 7 Arms Competition
and the Failure of Negotiation 114
Chapter 8 The
Tripolitanan and Balkan Wars 133
Chapter 9 Europe
on the Eve of World War 157
Part III
Chapter 10 Theory
and Method of the Analysis 164
Chapter 11 Expansion:
Colonial Area 177
Chapter 12 Intensity
of Intersections 189
Chapter 13 Military
Expenditures 203
Chapter 14 Alliances 219 Chapter 15 Violence-Behavior 234
Chapter 16 A
Synthesis 244
Chapter 17 Simulating
International Processes 255
Epilog
Chapter 18 A
Critical Assessment 278
Chapter 19 The
Future 283
Appendix
A The Data: Sources and Problems 294
B Methodology 302 C Alternative Estimation Procedures 323
D Biographies 330 E Treaties 334 Bibliography
General 339
Methodology 348